Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.383791 0.419422 0.457412 0.501022 0.549809 0.602832 0.664982
2025-12-21 0.314641 0.362695 0.417389 0.484617 0.565528 0.660396 0.780974
2025-12-28 0.284991 0.340755 0.407161 0.492830 0.601525 0.736334 0.918535
2026-01-04 0.262805 0.323436 0.398284 0.498696 0.631752 0.804710 1.051065
2026-01-11 0.244295 0.308013 0.389093 0.501557 0.656286 0.865891 1.178784
2026-01-18 0.228679 0.294447 0.380381 0.503149 0.677826 0.923475 1.306368
2026-01-25 0.216503 0.284130 0.374654 0.507539 0.702617 0.986799 1.448443
2026-02-01 0.201252 0.268325 0.359935 0.497523 0.704943 1.016395 1.540878
2026-02-08 0.191806 0.259783 0.354513 0.500095 0.725570 1.074813 1.685350
2026-02-15 0.181578 0.249364 0.345520 0.496358 0.735712 1.117063 1.807071
2026-02-22 0.174001 0.242214 0.340680 0.498299 0.754528 1.174509 1.961474
2026-03-01 0.165089 0.232525 0.331360 0.492404 0.759849 1.209441 2.078912
2026-03-08 0.156734 0.223310 0.322348 0.486580 0.765169 1.245524 2.204704
2026-03-15 0.146635 0.210932 0.307778 0.470757 0.752227 1.248152 2.266092
2026-03-22 0.142859 0.208010 0.307710 0.478683 0.780864 1.328438 2.493817
2026-03-29 0.138862 0.204491 0.306420 0.484345 0.805780 1.404097 2.722907
2026-04-05 0.134544 0.200213 0.303611 0.487105 0.825486 1.471554 2.944216
2026-04-12 0.130285 0.195792 0.300280 0.488641 0.842897 1.536055 3.168647
2026-04-19 0.126829 0.192484 0.298575 0.492877 0.865671 1.613623 3.435995
2026-04-26 0.121031 0.185056 0.289537 0.483212 0.860529 1.632352 3.563256
2026-05-03 0.117774 0.181685 0.287216 0.485695 0.879592 1.704560 3.836671
2026-05-10 0.113667 0.176696 0.281838 0.482089 0.885969 1.749569 4.046965
2026-05-17 0.110718 0.173529 0.279458 0.483962 0.903700 1.821751 4.343100